Thursday, September 21, 2023

2:00PM Water Cooler 9/15/2023 | bare capitalism


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By way of Lambert Strether of Corrente.

Chicken Tune of the Day

American Robin, Burton Power Hideaway
King, Washington, United States. “American Robins disenchanted via 2 Barred Owls in a tree, known as for a minimum of quarter-hour. Owl calls at 0:33 and 1:38. Occasional different birds come with Pacific-slope Flycatcher.”


“Such a lot of of the social reactions that strike us as mental are if truth be told a rational control of symbolic capital.” –Pierre Bourdieu, Classification Struggles

Biden Management

“‘You’re screwed’: Romney’s go out threatens a cave in of Senate’s center” [Politico]. “And as maligned as Romney, Manchin and Sinema are via one occasion or the opposite’s devoted, the imaginable 2024 departures of 2 or 3 of them would alternate the Senate, which handed a number of notable bipartisan offers within the closing Congress….  For 2 years underneath a 50-50 Senate, President Joe Biden discovered some legislative luck via letting the chamber paintings its will. A roving bipartisan staff began on Covid assist in overdue 2020 and got here in combination on giant problems that had bedeviled earlier Congresses: gun protection, same-sex marriage coverage, microchip production and infrastructure funding. Democrats made their fair proportion of partisan strikes, jamming via loads of billions in party-line greenbacks and an enormous pandemic assist plan, however the Senate’s taking part in box used to be additionally open for centrist maneuvering…. Nonetheless, the legislative filibuster and its 60-vote threshold stay intact — and that would imply new individuals step into the bipartisan breach. The query is whether or not that suggests collaboration handiest on crucial executive purposes like conserving the lighting fixtures on and elevating the debt ceiling or whether or not there’s a bipartisan need to do extra.” • So the actual factor is [genuflects] the filibuster…. 


Time for the Countdown Clock!

* * *

“‘They did it to me’: Trump says Biden impeachment inquiry could be motivated via revenge” [Politico]. “Former President Donald Trump has ‘no concept’ whether or not Republicans will vote to question President Joe Biden. However he does have a principle on what motivated Area Republicans to release a Biden impeachment inquiry: revenge. ‘They did it to me,’ Trump informed former Fox and NBC host Megyn Kelly throughout an hourlong interview on SiriusXM radio that aired Thursday. ‘And had they no longer finished it to me, I believe, and no person formally mentioned this, however I believe had they no longer finished it to me … most likely you wouldn’t have it being finished to them.’”

“Court docket orders Trump fraud trial be quickly halted after he sues the pass judgement on” [Independent]. “They’re in search of the involvement of an appellate pass judgement on to begin an “Article 78 continuing”, which objectives to compel [Justice Arthur Engoro] to seriously weaken the case introduced ahead via the legal professional common.” • New York courtroom professionals: What the heck is an “Article 78 continuing”?

* * *

“What’s in the back of the nonsensical marketing campaign to interchange Biden-Harris in 2024” [MSNBC]. “Let’s get this out of the way in which on the outset: Regardless of what number of pundits speculate and pen sizzling sizzling takes floating the theory, Joe Biden isn’t dropping by the wayside of the 2024 presidential race. He’s no longer dumping the vp, Kamala Harris, from his price ticket. And above all, he stays the best-positioned Democrat to defeat Donald Trump subsequent yr…. Biden introduced his candidacy for re-election previous this yr. He’s already raised $77 million as of July, and has no severe number one problem. He stays extensively fashionable amongst Democratic electorate, even supposing he obviously has paintings to do in an effort to reassure wayward occasion individuals. … He has given each and every conceivable sign that he’s working and that his center is in it. Barring some unexpected well being tournament, he’s no longer dropping by the wayside… Nor will Biden jettison Harris from the presidential price ticket. Whilst it’s true that Harris isn’t extraordinarily fashionable, losing her from the price ticket could be a slap within the face to essentially the most persistently unswerving constituency within the Democratic Celebration — Black ladies…. Finally, and that is the an important level: Biden is best placed than another Democrat to overcome Trump subsequent yr. No longer handiest has he already finished it, however he’s the incumbent president, and incumbent presidents in most cases get re-elected.  Every other Democratic candidate, whether or not it’s California Gov. Gavin Newsom or Whitmer, could be untested at the nationwide degree and, most likely much more vital, unvetted. Why any individual thinks it could be a good suggestion to forged apart an incumbent president with a report of accomplishments and the entire benefits of incumbency, for a candidate who maximum American citizens don’t know, is hard to fathom at any time. … If Biden and Harris each dropped out, as The Washington Put up’s David Ignatius known as for this week, attainable Democratic applicants would want to feverishly carry cash, rent personnel and put a marketing campaign construction in position simply months ahead of electorate move to the polls. The Democratic nomination race could be an unsightly protracted meals battle and not using a front-runner and a cheap likelihood that no candidate would win sufficient delegates to seize the nomination ahead of the Democratic Nationwide Conference.” • Feels like Democrats must discover ways to follow politics! What an idea! But when Biden gained’t drop out, he’ll must be driven out. Jill higher stay a detailed eye on his tablets. Or, if Biden had been Castro, his cigars.

“Biden marketing campaign plots long-game technique as Democrats’ fears of a Trump win spike” [CNN]. “It’s no longer simply that electorate proceed to mention Biden is simply too previous or possibly lower than the process, although that helps to keep arising in Democrats’ center of attention teams. It’s a malaise concerning the president that operatives stay noting that is going past a slew of nationwide polls – together with one from CNN closing week – that display a adverse view of the president’s efficiency. ‘I believe detached, truthfully,’ mentioned a voter in a single overdue summer season center of attention staff performed in a robust blue district, one in all a number of described to CNN via operatives concerned. ‘I don’t have an overly robust opinion, with the exception of I’m happy that it’s no longer the former individual.’ ‘I believe like he’s finished no hurt as opposed to the former president,’ mentioned every other. ‘It’s no longer unhealthy, it’s no longer nice. ‘It’s mainly simply looking to carry our nation again as much as the place it used to be ahead of,’ mentioned a 3rd. ‘So as a substitute of doing good stuff, simply roughly conserving us extra center floor.’” Importantly: “Inside of Biden’s marketing campaign headquarters… aides have no longer shifted from their plan to stick most commonly underneath the radar and stale the path till subsequent spring. Within the period in-between, they’re ramping up an in depth information and outreach experiment that they are saying is the one approach to account for the way a lot has modified in politics, era and psychology within the 8 years because the closing presidential election no longer outlined via social distancing, automotive rallies, Zoom fundraisers and the remainder that got here with the Covid-19 pandemic. The venture: see which Republicans and swing electorate they may be able to pull again from drifting to Trump, and whether or not there’s any hope of having the broader citizens in reality desirous about anything else from Biden.”

“‘I don’t know what he’s finished’: Within the UAW president’s place of birth, autoworkers lash out at Biden” [Politico]. “”Traditionally, guy, if you happen to didn’t vote Democrat years in the past, and also you had been within the union, occasionally you were given your ass kicked,” he mentioned. “Democrats had been for the operating folks. That sh*t has modified. I’m telling you what, the Democratic Celebration used to be no longer what it used to be 20, 30 years in the past.’” • Extra like 40 or 50.

* * *

“The Democratic Celebration Rigs the Primaries” [Robert F. Kennedy Jr., Wall Street Journal]. No debates, rigged number one calendar. And: “If different applicants conquer all that, they’ve every other hurdle: a category of superdelegates known as “occasion leaders and elected officers,” or Pleos. In 2018 the DNC voted to take away different superdelegates from the primary spherical of vote casting on the conference to restrict the ability of occasion elites to override the folk’s desire. As a result of no reputable will most likely dare impress the wrath of the DNC via pledging to me, handiest DNC-approved applicants gets any Pleos. Their web impact will likely be to impose the occasion insiders’ will on Democratic electorate. Assuming no Pleo backs me, I must win greater than 70% of standard delegates to overcome Mr. Biden. The DNC turns out to have forgotten the aim of the fashionable number one gadget, which is to interchange backroom crony politics with a clear democratic procedure. Our marketing campaign has contacted the DNC prematurely of its subsequent assembly in Washington, inquiring for a transparent procedure wherein the candidate selected via a majority of number one electorate would be the occasion’s nominee. In two letters despatched this week to DNC Chairman Jaime Harrison, my marketing campaign asked a gathering to speak about voter rights. We famous that the DNC consults carefully with Julie Chávez-Rodríguez, Mr. Biden’s marketing campaign supervisor, and we suppose that Mr. Harrison will agree to fulfill with us. Nonetheless, we’ve got had no reaction of any type from the occasion since June.” • Celebration’s reaction: “LOL no.”

* * *

AZ: “Biden admin mass liberating migrants without delay onto Arizona streets as border disaster rages” [FOX]. “Fox Information Virtual reported this week how Border Patrol management has set ‘bookout’ objectives for sectors amid expanding numbers this is straining capability…. The Aug 8 electronic mail, got via Florida Legal professional Common Ashley Moody’s workplace as a part of litigation, says day by day encounters ‘[continue] to surpass the day by day everlasting bookouts and the in-custody numbers proceed to upward thrust developing vital dangers to brokers and detainees.” As a result, the company proposes ‘day by day bookout objectives’ in line with sector ‘to carry in-custody numbers to manageable ranges’ in response to 7-day averages. It then says that, if ‘outcome pathways’ equivalent to expedited removing aren’t to be had, then liberating migrants with Notices to Seem (NTA/OR) at a long term courtroom date will have to be used.”

MI: “Michigan Pretend Elector Tells Court docket She Acted ‘At The Route’ Of Trump and His Legal professionals” [Mediaite]. “One of the most 16 pretend electors indicted this summer season in Michigan informed the courtroom in a submitting Monday that she acted ‘on the route’ of former President Donald Trump and his lawyers. The courtroom submitting used to be submitted via attorney Paul Stablein on behalf of his shopper Amy Facchinell and on Tuesday native media known as it ‘probably the most most powerful connections but between the efforts of the 16 Republicans in Michigan who at the moment are going through prison fees and Trump.’ In July, Michigan Legal professional Common Dana Nessel (D) indicted the 16 pretend electors on a couple of counts over their position in looking to overturn the 2020 presidential election in that state — all of them face severe jail sentences if convicted…. Stablein’s submitting strikes to determine that the conspiracy, fraud, and forgery fees Facchinell faces are a results of an legal professional for Trump on Dec. 14, 2020 telling the Republican electors ‘that efficiency in their tasks used to be vital on behalf of the president and the Charter.’ ‘Legal professionals for the president particularly suggested Ms. Facchinello that the Republican electors’ assembly and casting their ballots on Dec. 14, 2020, used to be in line with counsels’ recommendation and used to be vital to keep the presidential election contest,’ Stablein wrote.”

NC: “A 25-year-old from a small the town leads North Carolina’s Democratic Celebration towards 2024” [NPR]. “Now, it’s been greater than six months since Clayton used to be elected chair of the North Carolina Democratic Celebration, a promotion after main her county’s occasion. And at 25 years previous, she’s the youngest state occasion chief within the nation. It’s a name she wears proudly, proper along every other: being from a small the town. Each identities make a lot of her political battles private, as she wrestles with the previous faults of her occasion and what she needs the long run to seem like. ‘I used to be indignant,’ she mentioned of the Democratic Celebration. ‘I used to be indignant that it used to be ignoring puts like the place I’d grown up.’ 

‘Rural spaces at this time are demise, and folks for years have simply sat there and mentioned, ‘y’all deserve that,” she informed NPR, sitting at the sofa in her mother or father’s lounge throughout a summer season afternoon in Roxboro, N.C. In the event you’re going to select to are living in a space like that, you deserve simply to die out.’” • Rule #2. See the day gone by’s dialogue of small (Republican) vs. massive (Democrat) counties.

NV: “Pass judgement on Regulations Clark County Academics Union Coordinated A Sickout Strike” [Nevada Globe]. “As of late, Pass judgement on Crystal Eller dominated in choose of the Clark County College District (CCSD) who sought an injunction in opposition to the Clark County Training Affiliation’s (CCEA) position in coordinating a sickout strike which disrupted faculty and district operations affecting just about a dozen faculties all the way through the Las Vegas valley this previous week…. The present injunction filed via CCSD on Monday contended that it ‘defies common sense to indicate that mass absences represent anything else instead of a strike.’ As of late, Pass judgement on Eller agreed, noting, ‘the concept sickouts aren’t a strike is preposterous.’ The CCEA contended that the absences had been because of staffing shortages, a vacation weekend, Covid and the seasonal back-to-school flu, and that the union didn’t coordinate the rolling sickouts. Then again, CCSD integrated reveals from a whistleblower and a instructor who claimed that the probably the most faculty closures used to be led via a unionized instructor who mobilized colleagues to take the time without work Tuesday and this upcoming Friday to disrupt instruction. Below Nevada regulation, it unlawful for state public staff to strike.”

Obama Legacy


No longer many homicide their oldsters and throw themselves on the mercy of the pass judgement on as a result of they

Democrats en Déshabillé

Affected person readers, it kind of feels that individuals are in reality studying the back-dated put up! However I’ve no longer up to date it, and there are lots of updates. So I can have to try this. –lambert

I’ve moved my status remarks at the Democrat Celebration (“the Democrat Celebration is a rotting corpse that may’t bury itself”) to a separate, back-dated put up, to which I can periodically upload subject matter, summarizing the addition right here in a “are living” Water Cooler. (With a bit of luck, some Bourdieu.) It seems that defining the Democrat Celebration is, if truth be told, a troublesome drawback. I do suppose the paragraph that follows is on level the entire as far back as 2016, if no longer ahead of:

The Democrat Celebration is the political expression of the category energy of PMC, their base (lucidly defined via Thomas Frank in Concentrate, Liberal!). ; if the Democrat Celebration didn’t exist, the PMC must invent it. . (“PMC” modulo “category expatriates,” after all.) 2d, the entire operating portions of the Celebration make stronger every different. Go away apart characterizing the relationships between components of the Celebration (ka-ching, however no longer solely) the ones components include a community — a Flex Internet? An iron octagon? — of funders, distributors, apparatchiks, electeds, NGOs, and miscellaneous mercenaries, with property within the press and the intelligence neighborhood.

Be aware, after all, that the category energy of the PMC each expresses and is proscribed via different categories; oligarchs and American gentry (see ‘commercial style’ of Ferguson, Jorgensen, and Jie) and the operating category are evoked. Suck up, kick down.

* * *

“New Hampshire dangers shedding delegates over presidential number one date battle with DNC” [CBS]. “The DNC is upending the 2024 presidential nominating procedure via making South Carolina the primary number one state, knocking New Hampshire out of its coveted place. However New Hampshire has up to now refused to concede the spot, breezing via a Sept. 1 cut-off date the DNC had set for New Hampshire to surrender its place. On Thursday, the DNC Regulations and Bylaws Committee prolonged the cut-off date for New Hampshire to come back into compliance to Oct. 14, booking its risk of sanctions that will take away one of the crucial state’s delegates on the Democratic Nationwide Conference subsequent yr if it doesn’t conform to the nationwide occasion’s number one calendar adjustments. At this level, the committee says it has handiest gained a plan from New Hampshire that doesn’t come with a number one date. If the New Hampshire number one is held forward of South Carolina, Mr. Biden and his marketing campaign might fail to remember his title from the poll in New Hampshire, in protest of its failure to conform to occasion laws. Mr. Biden, whose a hit pursuit of the 2020 nomination used to be introduced via South Carolina’s enhance, first of all proposed that the state move first within the Democrats’ number one procedure. New Hampshire Democrats argue they lack the authority to transport the principle as a result of New Hampshire regulation calls for the state’s number one to be set no less than every week ahead of another nominating contest. To conform, a reversal of the 1975 regulation must cross a Republican-led majority within the Legislature. Whilst simply 43% of Democrats enhance the “first within the country” regulation, a majority of Republicans and independents within the state enhance the regulation, consistent with a College of New Hampshire ballot. A DNC calendar alternate has lengthy been floated, and New Hampshire hasn’t taken steps to switch its regulation.” • And talking of the DNC—

“NC Regulations & Bylaws Committee Meets To Imagine 2024 Presidential Number one & Caucus Calendar” [C-SPAN]. “The Democratic Nationwide Committee’s Regulations & Bylaws Committee met in Washington, DC to believe states’ plans for 2024 primaries, caucuses, and delegate variety. The 2 states with essentially the most controversy — Iowa and New Hampshire, the standard first-in-the-nation caucus and number one states — had the destiny in their 2024 plans behind schedule till a later assembly of the Regulations & Bylaws Committee, slated to coincide with the overall DNC’s 2024 fall assembly in St. Louis. The committee additionally authorized delegate variety plans from different states together with Georgia and California, and mentioned Maine’s revel in with ranked-choice vote casting, which used to be being proposed via some states for his or her 2024 presidential number one contests.” 

* * *

“The Democrats’ Oliver Anthony Drawback” [Ruy Teixiera, The Liberal Patriot]. “The truth that Democrats replied with visceral dislike to a tune that expressed the difficult populist perspectives of a real working-class individual presentations how unwelcoming the occasion has transform to exact working-class folks, versus mythological proletarians who mix hatred of (Republican) firms with reverence for ‘Bidenomics’ and cautious utilization of the entire authorized intersectional language… In a brand new CNN ballot, Biden loses the operating category via 14 issues to Trump, whilst wearing college-educated electorate via 18 issues. That compares to Biden’s 2020 loss to Trump of ‘handiest’ 4 issues amongst working-class electorate…. We’ll most likely see extra of the similar in 2024. As Brownstein noticed within the article referenced above, it’s most likely that Biden, in spite of his “center category Joe” personality, will finally end up depending extra, no longer much less, on upscale electorate than he did in 2020…..It simply may paintings. Undoubtedly it’s mathematically possible to catch up on working-class losses via beneficial properties a few of the college-educated (although the ones beneficial properties must be higher for the reason that college-educated are a smaller staff). However but even so being dangerous, one has to surprise what sort of occasion the Democrats are changing into. Is that this truly the occasion they wish to be, the place the perspectives, priorities, and values of the knowledgeable take priority? We’re getting very some distance certainly from FDR’s occasion of the typical guy and lady. Each political prudence and the core ancient commitments of the Democratic Celebration will have to lead them clear of their present trail and again towards the operating category.” • The irony of Ruy Teixiera, the Democratic strategist who greater than another moved created the permission construction for the Democrat PMC base to transport the occasion towards idpol, morphing into Thomas Frank, simply seven years too overdue, is tricky to endure.

Realignment and Legitimacy


“I’m in earnest — I can no longer equivocate — I can no longer excuse — I can no longer retreat a unmarried inch — AND I WILL BE HEARD.” –William Lloyd Garrison

Assets, United States (Nationwide): Transmission (CDC); Wastewater (CDC, Biobot; comprises many counties; Wastewater Scan, comprises drilldown via zip); Variants (CDC; Walgreens); “Iowa COVID-19 Tracker” (in IA, however nationwide information). “An infection Keep an eye on, Emergency Control, Protection, and Common Ideas” (particularly on hospitalization via town).

Lambert right here: Readers, thank you for the collective effort. To replace any access, do be at liberty to touch me on the cope with given with the crops. Please put “COVID” within the matter line. Thanks!

Assets, United States (Native): AK (dashboard); AL (dashboard); AR (dashboard); AZ (dashboard); CA (dashboard; Marin, dashboard; Stanford, wastewater; Oakland, wastewater); CO (dashboard; wastewater); CT (dashboard); DE (dashboard); FL (wastewater); GA (wastewater); HI (dashboard); IA (wastewater experiences); ID (dashboard, Boise; dashboard, wastewater, Central Idaho; wastewater, Coeur d’Alene; dashboard, Spokane County); IL (wastewater); IN (dashboard); KS (dashboard; wastewater, Lawrence); KY (dashboard, Louisville); LA (dashboard); MA (wastewater); MD (dashboard); ME (dashboard); MI (wastewater; wastewater); MN (dashboard); MO (wastewater); MS (dashboard); MT (dashboard); NC (dashboard); ND (dashboard; wastewater); NE (dashboard); NH (wastewater); NJ (dashboard); NM (dashboard); NV (dashboard; wastewater, Southern NV); NY (dashboard); OH (dashboard); OK (dashboard); OR (dashboard); PA (dashboard); RI (dashboard); SC (dashboard); SD (dashboard); TN (dashboard); TX (dashboard); UT (wastewater); VA (dashboard); VT (dashboard); WA (dashboard; dashboard); WI (wastewater); WV (wastewater); WY (wastewater).

Assets, Canada (Nationwide): Wastewater (Executive of Canada).

Assets, Canada (Provincial): ON (wastewater); QC (les eaux usées); BC, Vancouver (wastewater).

Hat tricks to useful readers: anon (2), Art_DogCT, B24S, CanCyn, ChiGal, Chuck L, Festoonic, FM, FreeMarketApologist (4), Gumbo, hop2it, JB, JEHR, JF, JL Joe, John, JM (10), JustAnotherVolunteer, JW, KatieBird, LL, Michael King, KF, LaRuse, mrsyk, MT, MT_Wild, otisyves, Petal (6), RK (2), RL, RM, Rod, sq. coats (11), tennesseewaltzer, Utah, Bob White (3). 

Keep protected available in the market!

* * *

Censorship and Propaganda

“If You Be afflicted by Pressing Customary Syndrome, Ask for Lend a hand” [Jessica Wildfire, OK Doomer]. Smartly price a learn:


Pressing standard syndrome is outlined via:

  • Dangerous enchantment to crowded indoor areas.
  • Anxiousness on the sight of mask or air purifiers.
  • An urge to downplay threats.
  • Avoidance of ‘unhealthy information.’

Reachers have known quite a lot of dangerous dynamics in staff psychology that may make any individual extra liable to pressing standard syndrome. First, teams can reveal normalcy bias that inhibits their standard battle or flight reaction. As Amanda Ripley has argued in Unthinkable, ‘massive teams of folks going through demise act in sudden tactics. Maximum folks transform extremely docile… Typically, we shape teams and transfer slowly, as though sleepwalking in a nightmare.’

Researchers have proven how normalcy bias has hampered our reaction to the pandemic. As one article within the Magazine of Group & Public Well being notes, ‘social shaming reinforces our normalcy bias. It’s no longer cool to overreact.’

Collective amnesia additionally performs a task in pressing standard syndrome. As sociologist Alessandra Tanesini writes, ‘Communities incessantly reply to demanding occasions of their histories via destroying items that will cue recollections of a previous they want to omit.’ Communities in reality unfold what she calls ‘reminiscence lack of expertise’ in an effort to suppress previous errors, unsightly recollections, and divergent idea. In line with Tanesini, this reminiscence lack of expertise serves as ‘a type of self-deception or wishful pondering within the provider of self-flattery.’

A 3rd flaw performs a last position in pressing standard syndrome, and it’s known as reactance. To start with proposed via Jack Brehm, reactance describes an intense need amongst individualists to downplay threats and dangers, particularly in the event that they understand a lack of their private freedom consequently.

We’ve witnessed an unsettling surge in all of those behaviors over the previous few years, as increasingly folks inspire or even praise every different for pushing aside the well being and protection of the ones round them.


Elite Maleficence

Covid minimizer and Sociopath of the Day Leana Wen * has Lengthy Covid:

NOTE * I let my schadenfreude get the finest of me (hat tip, alert reader thump). However she undoubtedly various pieces at the tick list, particularly the ordinary fatigue.

“PROFILE: Leana Wen” [Covid Accountability Index]. From January, nonetheless germane. Large takedown and description of Wen’s profession, concluding: “For a short while, I used to consider ‘Judas’ as a amusing front jingle for pro wrestler and dad-rock musician Chris Jericho. Now I bring to mind any individual who traces her personal wallet while betraying her colleagues and neglecting no longer handiest her youngsters, however the tens of hundreds of thousands of youngsters throughout The us. In the event you’re going to be a sit-at-home MD all day Leana, why don’t you pick out up a interest as a substitute – like solo-boardgaming or papercraft or one thing slightly innocuous. It’s by no means too overdue to make a favorable alternate.” • Ouch.

* * *

Case Knowledge

NOT UPDATED From BioBot wastewater information, September 14:


Lambert right here: Different indicators — scattered and partial although they be — additionally converge on a drop: ER visits, positivity. We will see. (I would come with CDC’s wastewater map for comparability, but it surely’s 11 days previous.)

Regional information:


Curiously, the upswing starts ahead of July 4, which neither speeds up nor retards it.


From CDC, September 16:


Lambert right here: Best of the leaderboard: EG.5 (“Eris“). Nonetheless BA.2.86 right here, no longer even within the be aware, however see beneath at Positivity.

From CDC, September 2:


Lambert right here: No longer positive what to make of this. I’m used to seeing a brand new variant take down the up to now dominant variant. Right here it looks as if we’ve got a “tag crew,” all operating in combination to chop XBB.1.5 right down to measurement. I positive hope the volunteers doing Pangolin, on which this chart is dependent, don’t all transfer at the inexperienced fields and pastures new (or have their get entry to to amenities lower via directors of unwell intent).

CDC: “As of Might 11, genomic surveillance information will likely be reported biweekly, in response to the supply of certain take a look at specimens.” “Biweeekly: 1. going on each and every two weeks. 2. going on two times every week; semiweekly.” Looks as if CDC has selected sense #1. In essence, they’re telling us variants are not anything to fret about. Time will inform.

Covid Emergency Room Visits

NOT UPDATED From CDC NCIRD Surveillance, September 9:


NOTE “Charts and information supplied via CDC, updates Wednesday via 8am. For the previous yr, the use of a rolling 52-week length.” So no longer all of the pandemic, FFS (the implicit message right here being that Covid is “similar to the flu,” which is why the seasonal “rolling 52-week length” is suitable for eachMR SUBLIMINAL I hate those folks such a lot. Understand additionally that this chart presentations, no less than for its period of time, that Covid is no longer seasonal, even if CDC is making an attempt to get us to imagine that it’s, probably so they may be able to piggyback at the current institutional equipment for injections.


Bellwether New York Town, information as of September 14:


Nonetheless hiking. I hate this metric for the reason that lag makes it misleading.

Right here’s a distinct CDC visualization on hospitalization, national, no longer via state, however with a date, no less than. September 9:


Be aware the slight drop, in line with Walgreens. A minimum of now we now that hospitalization tracks positivity, which is sweet. Even supposing we don’t know the way many instances there are.


NOT UPDATED From Walgreens, Sep 11:


0.4% Nonetheless pondering the dip is Hard work Day information. Or most likely folks had been in reality trying out for Hard work Day, and stopped. Absolutely the numbers are nonetheless very small relative to June 2022, say. Curiously, those don’t correlate with the regional figures for wastewater. (It will be attention-grabbing to survey this inhabitants typically; those are individuals who, in spite of a tsunami of reputable propaganda and large peer force, went and were given examined anyways.)

NOT UPDATED Cleveland Health center, September 9:


Lambert right here: I do know that is simply Ohio, however the Cleveland Health center is excellent*, and we’re starved for information, so…. NOTE * Even supposing health facility an infection keep watch over is making an attempt to kill sufferers via getting rid of common overlaying with N95s.

From CDC, traveler’s information, August 26:


A drop! And listed here are the variants:


No BA.2.86 for 2 of the long-delayed assortment weeks. I’ve highlighted the 2 leaders: EG.5 and FL.1.5.1. Curiously, the ones are the 2 leaders inside of america additionally, suggesting the nationwide and global bouillabaisse is identical. Or we’re infecting the sector.


NOT UPDATED Iowa COVID-19 Tracker, September 13:


Lambert right here: The WHO information is nugatory, so I changed it with the Iowa Covid Knowledge Tracker. Their means: “Those information had been sourced, by the use of the API from the CDC: This visualization updates on Wednesday evenings. Knowledge are provisional and are adjusted weekly via the CDC.” I will’t appear to get a pop-up that presentations a complete of the 3 reasons (most sensible proper). Readers?

General: 1,175,152 – 1,174,691 = 461 (461 * 365 = 168,265 deaths in line with yr, as of late’s YouGenicist™ quantity for “dwelling with” Covid (slightly slightly upper than the minimizers would really like, although they may be able to communicate themselves into anything else. If the YouGenicist™ metric helps to keep chugging alongside like this, I might simply need to make a decision that is what the powers-that-be believe “venture achieved” for this actual tranche of demise and illness). 

Extra Deaths

NOT UPDATED The Economist, September 13:


Lambert right here: That is now being up to date day by day once more. Extraordinary. In accordance with a machine-learning style. (The CDC has an extra estimate too, however because it ran ceaselessly with an enormous typo within the Legend, I figured no person used to be truly having a look at it, so I were given rid it. )

Stats Watch

Production: “United States NY Empire State Production Index” [Trading Economics]. “The NY Empire State Production Index strangely jumped to at least one.9 in September 2023 from -19 in August, beating forecasts of -10. The studying confirmed trade task within the NY state used to be little modified after shrinking sharply closing month.”

Production: “United States Production Manufacturing” [Trading Economics]. “Production manufacturing in the United States went up 0.1% from a month previous in August 2023, following a downwardly revised 0.4% upward thrust in July, in keeping with expectancies. The index for sturdy production edged up 0.1%, and the index for nondurable production higher 0.2%.”

Commercial Manufacturing: “United States Commercial Manufacturing: [Trading Economics]. “Commercial manufacturing in america went up 0.4 p.c from a month previous in August 2023, above marketplace expectancies of a nil.1 p.c build up and in comparison with a downwardly revised 0.7 p.c upward thrust in July.”

* * *


Mix that with inflation, and also you’ve were given folks scrimping on lifestyles’s must haves to pay down debt, which ends up in a dour surroundings in “the financial system,” I’d consider.

Tech: “Google says it will possibly’t repair Pixel Watches, please simply purchase a brand new one” [Ars Technica]. “Google makes a large deal out of its partnership with iFixit and the supply of alternative portions for its merchandise, however one Google product that doesn’t appear fixable is the Pixel Watch. After recognizing some posts from Pixel Watch customers in search of a treatment after cracking the glass and arising and not using a transparent solutions, The Verge were given Google to substantiate that, even 11 months after release, there is not any restore plan at this time. Google can’t repair your watch. There are not any portions. A Google spokesperson informed The Verge ‘At this second, we don’t have any restore choice for the Google Pixel Watch. In case your watch is broken, you’ll be able to touch the Google Pixel Watch Buyer Toughen Workforce to test your alternative choices.’ Harm like a cracked show isn’t coated underneath any roughly guaranty, so purchasing a brand new software is the one reputable choice.”

* * *

As of late’s Concern & Greed Index: 55 Impartial (earlier shut: 50 Concern) [CNN]. One week in the past: 51 (Impartial). (0 is Excessive Concern; 100 is Excessive Greed). Remaining up to date Sep 14 at 12:32:38 PM ET.

Photograph E-book

“Understand what you realize” [Notice What You Notice]. Re Instagram, and so forth.: “That’s the humorous factor about those social nets: they trick you into pondering you wish to have them on your inventive paintings, however they finally end up sapping you of such a lot of your power that you just don’t have the juice to do your factor. And they’re a huge distraction, to not point out addictive. That has been my revel in, anyway. I’d be curious to listen to if you happen to agree and the way you have got replied to those nefarious demanding situations on your personal paintings.”

The 420

“Hundreds signal as much as revel in magic mushrooms as Oregon’s novel psilocybin experiment takes to the air” [Associated Press]. 

Epic Therapeutic Eugene [Oregon] — The us’s first authorized psilocybin provider heart — opened in June, marking Oregon’s unheard of step in providing the mind-bending drug to the general public. The middle now has a waitlist of greater than 3,000 names… No prescription or referral is wanted, however proponents hope Oregon’s legalization will spark a revolution in psychological well being care…. Colorado electorate closing yr handed a measure permitting regulated use of magic mushrooms beginning in 2024, and California’s Legislature this month authorized a measure that will permit ownership and use of positive plant- and mushroom-based psychedelics, together with psilocybin and mescaline, with plans for well being officers to broaden tips for healing use.” • Hmm!

Information of the Stressed

Touch knowledge for crops: Readers, be at liberty to touch me at lambert [UNDERSCORE] strether [DOT] corrente [AT] yahoo [DOT] com, to (a) learn the way to ship me a take a look at in case you are allergic to PayPal and (b) to learn the way to ship me pictures of crops. Greens are high-quality! Fungi and coral are deemed to be honorary crops! If you wish to have your take care of to seem as a credit score, please position it firstly of your mail in parentheses: (thus). In a different way, I can anonymize via the use of your initials. See the former Water Cooler (with plant) right here. From lcm:

lcm write: “Black-eyed Susan and echinacea, most commonly self-sown, in central VA.” Lots of colour, precisely to my style.

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